Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.040136 0.043764 0.047439 0.051433 0.055645 0.059949 0.064671
2025-08-03 0.035056 0.040448 0.046108 0.052464 0.059378 0.066647 0.074842
2025-08-10 0.029200 0.035585 0.042515 0.050536 0.059506 0.069174 0.080324
2025-08-17 0.025422 0.032560 0.040545 0.050032 0.060893 0.072839 0.086873
2025-08-24 0.022332 0.029988 0.038796 0.049515 0.062042 0.076069 0.092810
2025-08-31 0.020836 0.029118 0.038872 0.050973 0.065353 0.081679 0.101403
2025-09-07 0.019339 0.028091 0.038634 0.051952 0.068022 0.086499 0.109065
2025-09-14 0.017872 0.026968 0.038165 0.052557 0.070173 0.090666 0.115944
2025-09-21 0.016377 0.025683 0.037391 0.052698 0.071694 0.094040 0.121864
2025-09-28 0.015611 0.025287 0.037685 0.054120 0.074741 0.099217 0.129920
2025-10-05 0.014064 0.023725 0.036383 0.053447 0.075145 0.101172 0.134105
2025-10-12 0.012978 0.022716 0.035736 0.053550 0.076466 0.104204 0.139564
2025-10-19 0.012208 0.022128 0.035642 0.054387 0.078756 0.108494 0.146654
2025-10-26 0.011655 0.021816 0.035900 0.055674 0.081623 0.113517 0.154681
2025-11-02 0.010082 0.019872 0.033814 0.053766 0.080326 0.113327 0.156293
2025-11-09 0.009108 0.018764 0.032834 0.053287 0.080832 0.115356 0.160619
2025-11-16 0.008212 0.017706 0.031863 0.052768 0.081244 0.117240 0.164750
2025-11-23 0.007961 0.017676 0.032377 0.054299 0.084372 0.122586 0.173228
2025-11-30 0.007593 0.017421 0.032539 0.055324 0.086824 0.127075 0.180653
2025-12-07 0.007151 0.017006 0.032435 0.055958 0.088740 0.130879 0.187225
2025-12-14 0.006624 0.016400 0.032010 0.056106 0.089984 0.133807 0.192695
2025-12-21 0.006444 0.016401 0.032511 0.057587 0.093049 0.139112 0.201208
2025-12-28 0.005791 0.015483 0.031535 0.056886 0.093096 0.140468 0.204676